Fighting the Iran Nuclear Deal: What happens if the US rejects the Deal?

Inside Washington D.C., Jewish advocacy groups like Aipac are spending tens of millions of dollars in an attempt to derail Congressional approval of the Iranian Nuclear Deal.  The war between the Obama Administration and Aipac is nothing more than a battle for a sinking ship.  Because the effectiveness of economic sanctions in a globalized world depends on the cooperation of highly influential economies, the reality that European nations are preparing to lift sanctions against Iran means the Iranian Nuclear Deal is more or less a certainty. 

Unless Iran commits a major infraction that resonates throughout the International Community, the world will move forward with or without the approval of the US Congress.  Clearly, the US Congress has a right and duty to review any treaty the Executive Branch wishes to sign.  America as a whole is responsible for upholding its agreements with foreign governments.  If the American People and their political representatives find a particular agreement unacceptable, the US Congress has an obligation to reject that agreement.  After all, foreign powers should not enjoy greater influence over US public policy than the American People. 

With that in mind, those lobbying on behalf of Israel and its interests need confronted for their undue influence over the US Legislative Branch.  Political leaders like Senator Chuck Schumer, in turn, must be chastised for allowing foreign interests to influence their positions as a US official.  At the same time, the Obama Administration and the various leaders who negotiated the Iranian Nuclear Deal must be criticized for excluding their Peoples from the negotiation process.  The Six powers responsible for negotiating the Iran Nuclear Deal should have brought the tentative agreement before the UN, so those nations responsible for the Iranian sanctions could internally review and approve the basic tenants before the details were finalized with Iran.

Should Congress reject the Iranian Nuclear Deal, the Obama Administration has already pledged to veto any attempt to block its implementation.  Should Congress manage to muster enough support to override that veto, the world will move forward on the Iran Nuclear Deal without the United States.  This will, of course, significantly hinder Iran’s efforts to normalize relations with the International Community while hardliners in Iran will use the opportunity to further demonize the United States, but it will also slow the reconciliation process.  This could provide an opportunity for more moderate forces in Iran to seize control of the process as well as the Iranian government.  This would also give the US an opportunity to cautiously develop a working relationship with Iran.

A failure of the United States to ratify the Iranian Nuclear Deal may not be as dramatic as proponents believe, assuming it is not the Obama Administration that actually breaks its promises.  The true intent of the Iranian government, however, is what matters.  If the Iran Nuclear Deal is to help jump-start normalized relations with the rogue state, the Iranian political system must moderate.  Quite frankly, the Nuclear Deal does not prevent Iran from getting a nuclear deal.  Outside of war, what will prevent Iran from pursuing nuclear weapons is the rise of an Iranian leadership that seeks to make peace instead of war, which means the current and hardliner elements within the current Iranian government must be phased out.

Truthfully, the Iran Nuclear Deal matters very little.  It is a stepping-stone.  What matters are the future policies of Iran.  Iran’s words should not be trusted over its actions while the International Community must be guarded in how it unravels Iran’s isolation.  If Iranian President Hassan Rouhani truly represents a trend for moderation in Iran, if Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamen sees enough value in Rouhani’s efforts to empower likeminded political leaders, the world will start to see change within months as the Nuclear Deal is implemented.  Because greater access to Iran means Iran will be far more susceptible to outside criticism, Iran’s human rights violations and state-sponsored terrorism will take the focus, which could ultimately derail the Nuclear Deal if the Khamen regime fails to change.