Quite frankly, any government shutdown would be a failure on behalf of our elected officials, particularly those who use it so willingly to force their agenda. That said, a government shutdown would accomplish nothing constructive for the political Right. If the government shutdown goes into effect, moderates on both sides of the aisle will unite, either immediately or eventually. Unlike the 90’s shutdown under House Speaker Newt Gingrich, the Republican Party is no longer beholden to a unified position while there is little, aside from the eventual dismantling of our government, the Tea Party and the other extreme elements of the GOP are willing to accept, i.e. Obama cannot appease the supposed Conservative vote without giving up key Democratic positions and appeasement now will only guarantee future threats of shutdowns. As such, moderate Republicans will have to split from their less moderate colleagues.
If a truce holds, Congress will start accomplishing some of the priorities shared by Democrats and moderate Republicans, but Tea Members will lose leverage and, possibly, elections. If the truce does not hold as is likely, nothing gets done and threats to shutdown government will continue until, at least, the next election. The GOP will likely lose the next election in overall wins. Even if Tea Party members continue to enjoy the favor of their voters, this would mean the GOP would lose the leverage they need to influence the outcomes of issues Democrats put forth and shape with their increasing leverage, thus the GOP and Tea Party agendas would become even more irrelevant. Unfortunately, this would mean the bad habits of the Democrats would be unchecked, thereby ensuring American interests will not be fully represented and our Nation’s problems cannot be solved.
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April 2020
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